Abstract China International Robot Industry Development Summit Forum held in Shanghai yesterday, Industrial Equipment Division of the Ministry of Industry Deputy Director Wang Weiming said, at present, is developing "Thirteen Five" related industrial planning, in 2020 the industrial system of China's industrial robot to have 3 to 5 homes have international...
The reporter learned from the authoritative channel that after the introduction of the guidance for promoting the development of the robot industry in 2013, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has re-emerged policies to support the development of the robot industry, including the joint efforts of the National Standards Committee to promote the development of the national and industry standards for the robot industry, and the joint efforts of the Ministry of Finance. And the China Insurance Regulatory Commission and other departments to study and establish the first set of robot application insurance mechanism, set up an expert consultation team to study and compile the robot technology roadmap and the "13th Five-Year Plan" of the robot industry. The insiders analyzed that the policy of supporting the robots by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology this year will mainly present two major characteristics: First, it will be jointly formulated with other ministries and commissions to make the support policies for the robot industry more authoritative and three-dimensional; second, the support measures will be more refined. More comprehensive, the successive introduction of the "chained" New Deal is expected to continue to inject new vitality into the robot industry, and the process of intelligent equipment in China is expected to accelerate again.
Joining hands with many ministries and commissioning a new policy
The reporter learned from the insiders that the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is currently promoting the development of the Chinese robot industry from five aspects: top-level design, standard system, and financial support.
In strengthening the top-level design, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology will set up an expert consultation team to organize the research and development of the robot technology roadmap and the “13th Five-Year Plan†of the robot industry, and form a committee composed of experts from different units to be the strategy, top-level design and major of the robot industry. Special advice is provided to support government decision-making.
In terms of improving the standard system construction, in accordance with relevant plans, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is working with the National Standards Committee to promote the standardization of strategic emerging industries. The robot industry is an important part of it. This year, we are preparing to promote the development of national and industry standards for robot interfaces, communications, etc., and improve the level of robot technology by improving the standard system to promote the development of the robot industry.
At the same time, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology intends to continue to increase funding and policy support for the robot industry, especially supporting the development and industrialization of robots in key industries. Use digital workshops and other means to increase the promotion of robot application demonstration. From the perspective of specific industries, this year, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology will promote system integration and application in the fields of power transmission and transformation equipment, materials, automobile engine processing, dangerous goods manufacturing, civil explosives, sensors and instrumentation, spacecraft, aircraft and shipbuilding, etc. Level intelligent workshop to improve the intelligence level of related industries. In these industries, innovations in the robotics industry in these areas will be supported through policies such as tax incentives.
The application and demonstration of supporting the first set of robots in China will also become the focus of the work of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology. China Securities Journal reporter was informed that the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is currently working with the Ministry of Finance, the China Insurance Regulatory Commission and other departments to study and establish the first set of major technical equipment insurance mechanisms, ready to put industrial robots into it, to solve the problem of China's first industrial robot application. According to the above-mentioned sources, as robots have great potential in the field of dangerous work, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology will launch demonstration projects for robot applications in civil explosives and other industries, establish application promotion standards for civil explosives and other industries, and guide civilians to use robots in the whole industry to improve production efficiency and ensure safe production. .
In addition, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology is also studying the docking platform between the upstream and downstream of the robot to promote the application. Promote the docking of robot companies and users by holding robot application promotion meetings and other forms to better promote the market application of robots.
Industry experts told the China Securities Journal that at present, many countries and regions, including the European Union and South Korea, have formulated a development strategy for the robot industry. China's emphasis on the robot industry has also increased. The "robot revolution" is expected to be an entry point and an important growth point for the "third industrial revolution", which will affect the global manufacturing landscape. China has become the world's largest robot market. We must not only raise the level of China's robots, but also occupy the market as much as possible.
Three-dimensional industrial support policy
According to informed sources, as the competent authority of the robot industry, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology began to think about how the Chinese robot industry responds to international competition and pressure in 2012 and promotes the healthy and sustainable development of the Chinese robot industry. At the end of 2013, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued guidance on promoting the healthy and orderly development of the robot industry. At the end of March 2014, a summit meeting to promote the development of the robot industry was held in Jiangsu.
According to industry insiders, China's industrial robot industry will develop industrial robot system integration technology, host design technology and key component manufacturing technology to meet user needs, break through a number of core technologies and key components, and enhance the reliability of mainstream products. Sexuality and stability indicators, promote the scale demonstration application of industrial robots in important industrial manufacturing fields. This is also the central task of the development of China's industrial robot industry.
According to relevant plans, by 2020, China should form a relatively complete industrial robot industry system, cultivate 3-5 internationally competitive leading enterprises and 8-10 supporting industrial clusters; industrial robotics industry and enterprises' technological innovation capabilities and The international competitiveness has been significantly enhanced. The market share of high-end products has increased to over 45%. The density of robots (the number of robots used per 10,000 employees) has reached more than 100, which basically meets the needs of national defense construction, national economic and social development.
"In order to achieve the above objectives, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology will support the development of China's robot industry and enterprises from the aspects of collaborative innovation, industrial development, demonstration application, standard system, public service platform and international exchange and cooperation. This is the guiding opinion for the healthy development of China's robot industry. The clear direction indicated is also the specific task that China has to complete in the process of developing the robot industry," said a person from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology.
An academician of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, who did not want to be named, told the China Securities Journal that as a whole, in addition to the support policies for the establishment of their respective robotic industrial parks or industrial bases at the local government level, the development of China’s robotics industry also Intensive contact with the brewing support policy began. With the three-dimensional and all-round promotion of support policies, the process of intelligentization of equipment in China is expected to accelerate.
The world's largest market for robots is monopolized by foreign capital
"In the growth process of a bamboo, the first four years can only grow 3 cm per year, but from the fifth year, it can grow wildly at a rate of 30 cm per day, and it can grow to 15 meters in just six weeks. China The current robot industry is still in the stage of 3 cm a year." Zhao Jie, the head of the National 863 Robotics Technology Group, described the development status of the Chinese robot industry to the China Securities Journal.
Unlike the capital market robot concept, which has continued to “high fever†since last year, most people in the industry performed very calmly at the China International Robot Exhibition held on July 9. Some analysts pointed out that China Securities Journal reporter pointed out that although China has been promoted to the world's largest robot market, it faces weak self-owned brands, lagging core parts and components development, low product recognition and added value, and low-end production capacity. A series of problems such as excess have become increasingly prominent. Wang Weiming, deputy director of the Equipment Industry Department of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, described this as “historical opportunities and difficult challenges coexist†and needs to be resolved from the joint efforts of the national ministries and commissions to local governments and micro-enterprises.
"In fact, in the first four years, bamboo will extend hundreds of square meters in the soil. China's current robot industry is still in this rooted stage." Zhao Jie pointed out that the entire industry has only been through a lot of years, "three." "Centimeter", China's robotics industry can develop rapidly when the time is ripe; in the visible years, the "three-centimeter" model of this industry development will not be able to leap, China's robot industry needs to find a new model of sustainable development.
The world's largest robot market
At the China International Robot Exhibition, Wang Ruixiang, president of the China Machinery Industry Federation, pointed out that robots have been hailed as the crown jewel of the manufacturing industry. Its research and development, manufacturing and application have become a symbol of a country's technological innovation and high-end manufacturing. . It is very gratifying that in recent years, China's industrial robot sales are in a period of rapid growth. In 2013, China has become the world's largest industrial robot market.
The China Robotics Industry Alliance and the International Robotics Federation have achieved statistically comprehensive statistics on the Chinese industrial robot market for the first time through statistical information exchange. The data shows that in 2013, domestic enterprises sold more than 9,500 industrial robots in China, and their sales volume increased by 65.5% compared with the previous year. The total number of industrial robots sold by foreign-funded enterprises in China exceeded 27,000, an increase of 20% over the previous year. This means that in 2013, the Chinese market sold nearly 37,000 industrial robots, accounting for about one-fifth of global sales, and its total sales exceeded Japan, making it the world's largest industrial robot market.
“China, once a world factory, has now developed into the largest buyer of the global robot market.†Wang Ruixiang said, “In 2013, the number of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 81,000, and the main revenue exceeded 20 trillion yuan. The continuous increase in the sales of robots indicates that the penetration of robots in Chinese industry is getting deeper and deeper."
Many professionals are optimistic about the industrial driving effect brought by the first year of robots. According to analysts from Galaxy Securities, the sales growth rate of industrial robots in China has exceeded 60%, far exceeding market expectations. Driven by factors such as the third global industrial transfer, economic restructuring, the disappearance of demographic dividends and strong support from national policies, the robot industry will continue to exceed expectations in terms of industry demand, prosperity and catalysts. It is expected to be before 2020. Maintain sustained high growth.
According to estimates by Qilu Securities analysts, after 2014, the annual sales volume of industrial robots in China is about 35,000 sets, and the market scale reaches 10 billion yuan. Considering that the main application form of robots is to support the manufacturing industry, it will assist and increase production capacity. The role of the industrial cluster will reach 800 to 100 billion yuan.
Multiple gaps in the industry to "cold water"
While seeing the huge development space of China's robot industry, Wang Ruixiang turned his head and pointed out that compared with the international advanced level, the Chinese robot industry still faces many gaps and problems. "Overall, the development of China's robot industry is slow. In terms of per capita possession, the density of robots is still low. At the end of 2013, the number of robots in China was only 23/10,000, which is less than half of the world average. What is more tragic is that from the micro level, the core technology of China's robotics enterprises is weak, the key components are highly dependent on foreign countries, and the application technology and products are at the stage of exploration. In the sales market, the international share of China's products is still very high. Low, international brands can occupy an absolute leading position in the Chinese market. It can be seen that China's product market awareness, credit and added value have a big gap compared with foreign brands."
Zhao Jie gave a detailed analysis of the composition of China's industrial robot market to China Securities Journal. In the Chinese robot market in 2013, multi-joint robots with higher technical content used in welding and other fields were almost monopolized by foreign capital; among industrial robots sold by domestic enterprises, coordinate robots are the main products, accounting for more than 40%, and the number exceeded The total amount of similar robots sold by foreign-funded enterprises in China. “This shows that domestically produced robots are mainly based on three-axis and four-axis, and are still in the state of low-priced industrial robots, mainly used in areas with low performance requirements.â€
Soliditance Asia Pacific President Diet analyzed that in the Chinese robot market, foreign robot giants are in a clear monopoly position. Although the Chinese robot industry has developed rapidly in recent years, related companies have been catching up, but they are still in a weak position.
Diet’s “following up†includes various aspects such as setting up joint ventures and introducing advanced technologies. Taking listed companies as an example, Yawei will cooperate with Reis, a world-leading robot manufacturer controlled by Kuka, Germany, in a robotic joint venture and technology licensing cooperation. Reis licenses Yawei to acquire a full range of linear robots and horizontal articulated robots. The required technology, Yawei shares paid a license fee of 6.11 million euros for this purpose, both parties agreed to sublicense the Yawei shares to the joint venture company to manufacture and assemble the licensed products.
"Domestic enterprises should adhere to the combination of attracting investment, attracting intelligence, and introducing skills, combining production, education and research to promote the development of China's robot industry." Wang Ruixiang said.
"Cold water" is not only this basin. According to relevant analysts of CICC, the high growth based on the domestic robot industry is mainly reflected in the low-end products such as coordinate robots. Under the background of various local governments launching robot projects, all types of enterprises want to transform and develop the robot industry. It is expected that the low-end overcapacity in the industry will soon appear.
At the exhibition, China Securities Journal reporter also saw the practice of some companies starting to seize the market by price competition. Take the smart scooter as an example. Since there are manufacturers in Shanghai, Tianjin and other places producing related products, the prices of the agents in the development of the regional market have begun to appear more and more loose.
Li Yichuan, a researcher in the capital market public opinion strategy, pointed out that the investment in robot projects is large and the cycle is relatively long. The growth of market demand is not explosive. If there is rapid homogenization and expansion in the short term, everyone will be congested in the most valueless part of the industry chain. It will bring overcapacity, and the robot industry will fall into the same situation as the photovoltaic industry of the year.
Seeking out along the lower reaches
“Almost all emerging industries will experience brutal growth, repeated construction and swarming.†Some experts told China Securities Journal that they hope that after years of practice, big waves will allow those companies with technical and economic strength to settle down. To make China's robot industry enter the track of benign development.
"Although the original innovation capability of China's robot industry is insufficient, the industrial ecological chain is incomplete, and the industry's ability to gather is weak, the Chinese robot industry also has four sources of development." Zhao Jie pointed out that in the transformation and upgrading of manufacturing industry structure, China Per capita labor productivity lags far behind developed countries. In terms of labor costs, wages of manufacturing enterprises in the Pearl River Delta increased by 9.2% in 2013, compared with 7.6% in 2012. The growth of wages and the pressure of corporate social security contributions will also bring the robot industry. Development opportunities; population aging is intensifying, it is estimated that by 2022, China's urban manufacturing workers will be reduced by 7 million, migrant workers will be reduced by more than 10 million, and the population of the appropriate age will accelerate the substitution of robots; China's low-end labor-intensive manufacturing The demand for enterprises is huge, and the industries that are harmful to the human body such as auto parts, polishing, polishing, and welding are expected to gradually replace robots.
What is the path for the Chinese robot industry to seek breakthroughs in front of powerful enemies? The relevant analysts of Galaxy Securities pointed out that in the case of the monopoly of the upper and middle reaches, it is necessary to seek a breakthrough or a feasible path from the downstream. "In the upstream of the industrial chain, there are no core component enterprises such as reducers that can provide large-scale and reliable performance, resulting in high cost of domestic robots. In the middle, the core technologies such as the ontology are also monopolized by foreign brands; only the downstream side, domestic System integrators rely on local advantages to develop rapidly. Based on this, the Chinese robotic industrialization model is more feasible to gradually expand from the beginning to the middle and upper reaches, that is, implement the American model (integration) in a phased manner - the Japanese model (core technology) - the German model ( Division of labor cooperation)."
The high-tech lithium-ion executive of the consulting organization told the China Securities Journal that if you want to break through the bottleneck of robot localization, domestic robot companies should first look for their own industry and positioning. At present, many domestic enterprises pursue large and complete, but the robot industry is very Refining, the spirit of concentration is needed, and the blindness of domestic enterprises to their own positioning restricts their own development. “In fact, leading companies can fully promote long-term cooperation with SMEs to promote their growth and strengthen the matching and synergy between the upstream and downstream of the industry chain. Previously, Samsung and LG have tried this approach and achieved good results. â€
Qilu Securities related analysts believe that "cloud" will become an important force for robots to break through. "Cloud control system based on shared data will basically break the time and space constraints, expand the context corresponding library through the network between robots, and enhance the ability of intelligent robots to understand and make decisions. Intelligent robots will be the inevitable direction for the development of China's robot industry."
"No matter which mode is adopted, enterprises need to promote scientific research and production work in a down-to-earth manner." Zhao Jie pointed out that the entire robot industry can only develop thinly after a few years of "three centimeters", and the robot industry can develop. grow.
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