According to futurists, with the popularity of electric vehicles, the peak of oil consumption will come within 15 years, and this eight trillion dollar energy industry will undergo earth-shaking changes.
Ramez Naam, an expert who will attend the SingularityU summit in New Zealand, said that by 2030, world oil consumption will peak and that coal will not be available as a fuel. Ramiz's forecast is significantly different from the IEA's forecast, and he believes that the cost of solar, wind and battery technology will become cheaper every year and will greatly complement fossil fuels.
At the same time, worldwide opposition to global warming has become a political trend, and businesses that can adapt to this new trend can thrive. Mike Bennetts, head of New Zealand's largest fuel retailer, Z Energy, said he expects the transition to come, and the new change is not a threat but a new opportunity.
Ramiz has worked at Microsoft for 13 years and is responsible for pre-development work such as Microsoft Outlook, Internet Explorer, and search engine Bing. He has 19 patents in search engine, information reading, web browsing, and artificial intelligence. Ramiz has a lot of information in the energy field, and he said that the world is working to reduce the price of clean energy. “The only way we can cope with global warming is through technological innovation,†he said. “People usually buy the cheapest energy, and what we have to do is provide the cheapest clean energy.â€
At the same time, Ramiz said that the entire energy industry may be reversed, and participants in the industry may face destructive results, such as coal. Although the coal price has improved slightly in the first half of this year, its price has been greatly reduced from high value... ... At the same time, due to the popularity of electric vehicles, the peak oil consumption may come within 15 years. By then, the price of electric cars will be cheaper, and the battery will last longer, and the cruising range will be longer...
Invoking the predecessor of Saudi Arabia’s former oil minister, Sheikh ZakiYamani: “The reason why the Stone Age was ended is not because of the lack of stone. Similarly, the end of the oil age will be used before oil is used.†Lamiz stressed that oil Peak consumption, not oil shortages, will end the oil era.
However, Ramiz also admits that the current total number of electric vehicles is still too small. Among the more than one billion vehicles in the world, there are only more than one million electric vehicles. However, due to its small base, electric vehicles will grow at a very fast rate. He predicts that about 30% to 40% of cars will be electric cars in the next decade, light trucks will gradually become electric, and heavy trucks will be able to charge using wireless networks.
Ramiz lives in the United States. Currently, about 15% of the electricity in the United States is produced by clean energy, and Ramiz also believes that electric vehicles are more environmentally friendly. He said: "Even if electric vehicles use coal-fired power, it is still better than burning oil. If you use electric vehicles, the grid will become cleaner."
As the current trend continues, electric cars may become the cheapest cars on the market. At the same time, the New Zealand government is also taking a series of measures, hoping to double the number of electric vehicles to 64,000 by 2021.
Although New Zealand Energy Minister Simon Bridges is actively promoting the development of the electric vehicle industry, he is also encouraging New Zealand oil companies to actively explore and discover new large oil fields. Last week, Brigid said that the transition to a low-carbon economy needs to be carried out in an orderly manner, which may take many years to achieve.
The message that Bridger sends to the outside world is that the energy sector will face fast-growing technology, while the cost of technology is declining. Previously, Brigg had said that New Zealand can imitate Norway, is a major oil exporter, and uses a percentage of renewable energy and a high proportion of electric vehicles.
Ramiz said that the transition to clean energy is long and the resistance is high. But coal workers can retrain and work in the solar field, and wages will be higher. Throughout the transition, you can create wealth as well as lose wealth. Ramiz expects: "In the next 50 years, the transformation will cost about $200 trillion, and the pioneers in research and development of solar, wind, battery and electric vehicles will be a huge success."
At the same time, Ben Netz, head of Z Energy, does not want the existing energy service sector to change radically overnight. His company has also begun to experiment with the transformation, trying to produce commercial biodiesel and participating in the bidding for the aviation biodiesel project. However, Bennett said that he will not flood into the charging station business.
Bennett said that in the future, charging may use the battery, or the wireless charging pad on the road. The development of technology is changing with each passing day, and he will switch to VHS home video technology... and his investment focus is not necessarily successful, but How to train others and how to educate the next generation.
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